Friday, May 6, 2011

Trader Update -data point 06 May 2011-

Trading Environment:
                                                                                                                           
-Long Term Trending Fed- and Foreign net- Liquidity Inflows _ 'downtick'_ in mid expansion territory
-Leadership stock ratio: +0.02 bullish advantage
                                                                                                                              

Confirming weakness
                                                                                                                            
-Institutional selling action_reversal into uptrend_increased selling
-Short term liquidity trend_negative_intraday corrective rebound potential
-C-RSI 9 < C-RSI 30
-VIX 18.20_ > 15.23 support_< 20 stress level_long-term resistance 32.70_D/Vol 'uptick'_30 New Lows
-New Highs Trending Indicator: 121 < 180 minimum target
-New Lows: 30_in danger 26-zone_below panic zone 50 (+)
-SPX 500 'buy' trigger March 25_C-RSI 30 +4.04 strength
-NYSE_(= hft-zone)_C-RSI 30 +4.09 strength_slight negative NYA-Momentum
                                                                                                                           
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Stocktiming.com recommend:
  • weakening bullish sentiment_uptrend under high stress_C-RSI 30 > +5.00 strength
  • Conservative: holding long position
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Today's Session:
  • expecting trading > *1344 to *1356 into target *1381 (+)_*1412 upper resistance
  • reaching into target zone_ risk of corrective shake out into *1344/*1331 congestion
  • weakness trading Close < *1331
...Strategy: long > *1324 -stop *1316 -target *1378 (+) -hedged *1378-
  • a successful defense of the *1344/*1331 congestion level will set up the index up into the *1400 (+) upper resistance level
Note: despite late sell-off, market traded sideways for the day filling the open gap late in the session; good liquidity inflows positive for another rally into the *1400 (+) upper resistance level; market needs to keep current levels into a Monday Close for sustained break above *1360
    Kind Regards

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