Wednesday, April 13, 2011

Trader Update -data point 13 April 2011-

Trading Environment:

-SPX 500 'buy' trigger March 25_C-RSI 30 weak +2.53 strength
-Long Term Trending Fed- and Foreign net- Liquidity Inflows _ 'downtick'_ in high expansion territory
-VIX 17.09_below 20 stress level_long-term resistance 32.70_D/Vol inside range_21 New Lows
-New Lows: 21_below danger 26-zone_below panic zone 50 (+)
-NYSE_(= hft-zone)_weak positive strength_C-RSI below +5.00
-Leadership stock ratio: +0.13 bullish advantage                                                                                                                              

Confirming weakness
-Institutional selling action _'selling limits' expanded_crossover to nascent uptrend_risk of high volatility
-Short term liquidity trend_potential rebound_high volatility
-New Highs_negative 24
-VIX > 15.23 support = negative for sustaining bull market
---------------------------------- recommend:

-negative intraday bias with initial strong Open
-Conservative: higher risk holding long position

Today's Session:
  • bullish: > *1324 on track to take out February Peak *1344_view to *1379
  • Close < *1324_consolidating range *1313/*1338

  • Close <*1313_high risk for bearish reversal to *1303/*1300/ *1280 minimum 
  • Strategy: expecting a successful defense -buy *1282 -stop *1267 -target *1375
    Kind Regards

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