Friday, February 25, 2011

Trader Update - data point 25 February 2011 -

   
Trading Environment:

 -SPX 500 remains in Up-condition with positive C-RSI 7.07 strength
-Long Term Trending Fed- and Foreign net-Liquidity Inflows 'weakening' in high expansion territory
-New Lows: 15 remain below danger 26-zone

-institutions in light distribution - danger zone -

Confirming short term weakness:

-C-RSI 9 below C-RSI 30 _ C-RSI 4 below C-RSI 9
-Leadership stock ratio reads +0.08 dangerously low positive bullish advantage 




market today needs to build on yesterdays improving tone with a VIX below 20 into the Close

Today's Session:

...the SPX 500 working its way up from the February 24 Low *1294 into the February 23 *1322 resistance_!325 congestion, in what appears to be the first leg of a corrective bounce

...a Close today above *1325 congestion will increase probabilities for the index to go to the races towards upper channel resistance current *1366 in the dly. 6-mth. trading setup, potential to reach out to hit a *1420 measured objective without looking back

...however, risk are high, for the index to fail the February 23 *1322 resistance_!325 congestion. The subsequent down draft would target lower channel support current *1286 in  the dly. 6-mth. trading setup, potential to spike down to January 30 High *1275

...a successful defense of *1286/*1275 should provide the foundation for another rally into June with upper channel resistance current *1366 in  the dly. 6-mth. trading setup; potential to reach out to hit a *1420 measured objective

Kind Regards

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